Population-level impact of loss on survivor mortality risk

The death of a parent or spouse adversely affects the bereaved [1, 2]. Likewise, the loss of a child affects the health of the parent(s) [3, 4]. As the population’s age increases, the overlap between the parent and child lifespan also increases. Eighty-five percent of individuals between the ages 40–50 years have a living parent [5]. Newly published reports link population-level insomnia and healthcare utilization to loss, as a potential risk factor for illness in the USA. In a cohort of men and women ages 50–70 years, loss increased the risk for clinical insomnia [6] and hospitalization rates by 20–30 % [7]. This risk persists after controlling for age, gender, and health and behavior status. In a longevity society, loss is an emerging public health issue.

We estimated the risk that loss poses for a survivor’s subsequent mortality with data from the 2010 and 2012 wave of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). HRS is a representative sample of Americans aged 50 years and older. For purposes of these analyses, and in congruence with our previous research [6, 7], our sample was limited to respondents aged 50–70 years in both the 2010 and 2012 waves of HRS (N = 5757).

We assessed the mortality of the respondent using the HRS 2012 vital status variable. Seventy-five percent of respondents between the ages of 50 and 70 years survived between the end of the 2010 wave and the start of the 2012 wave.

In the model, age was categorical in five-year intervals, and we included a number of covariates. These potential confounders included gender, physical activity (any versus none), and health insurance (any versus none). We also included a measure of satisfaction with current health status as well as a four-level measure of insomnia symptoms.

We used Stata 12 (StataCorp, LP College Station, TX, USA) for all descriptive statistics, measures of association (odds ratios with 95 % confidence intervals), and generalized linear models using the logit link function \(g\left( \mu \right) = \log [\frac{\mu }{1 - \mu }]\). The logit link is useful for binary outcomes and logistic regression. Because the outcome was rare, we determined that odds ratios were an appropriate measure of association and would approximate the relative risk.

The mortality rate increased twofold from the youngest to oldest age categories between survey waves. A respondent with a loss was twice as likely to die when compared similarly aged persons with no loss (OR 2.32; 95 % CI 1.14, 5.30). Loss of either a parent (OR 1.93; 95 % CI 1.01, 4.07), or a child (OR 1.77; 95 % CI 1.08, 2.96) also increased respondent mortality.

Table 1 shows the final models for each loss variable and indicates that loss of any type has a significant effect on the survivors own mortality. Moreover, multiple losses more than double the odds of survivor mortality. After controlling for gender, physical activity, and insomnia symptoms, the odds ratio for survivor mortality is 1.78 (95 % CI 1.01, 3.16) for 2 losses, and 3.84 (95 % CI 1.29, 11.41) for three or more losses. The results also suggest that any level of physical activity (mild, moderate, or vigorous) significantly reduces survivor death risk.

In a longevity society, parents and children can live together for more than 50 years. The new science of social network provides a mechanism for the propagation of illness caused by negative emotions [8]. Our results show that the loss of close relative (parent, spouse, sibling, or child) is an independent contributor to risk for mortality of the bereaved. These results are consistent with other population-level reports [1]. Our results also suggest that physical activity strongly reverses this risk. If loss does act as a gateway to healthcare system use as our prior research suggests, then the implementation of an activity regimen as part of a hospice bereavement benefit, could provide a measureable impact on population-level health care utilization.