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Research on Child and Adolescent Psychopathology

Gepubliceerd in:

03-10-2018

Using Early Childhood Behavior Problems to Predict Adult Convictions

Auteurs: Francesca Kassing, Jennifer Godwin, John E. Lochman, John D. Coie, Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group

Gepubliceerd in: Research on Child and Adolescent Psychopathology | Uitgave 5/2019

Abstract

The current study examined whether teacher and parent ratings of externalizing behavior during kindergarten and 1st grade accurately predicted the presence of adult convictions by age 25. Data were collected as part of the Fast Track Project. Schools were identified based on poverty and crime rates in four locations: Durham, NC, Nashville, TN, Seattle, WA, and rural, central PA. Teacher and parent screening measures of externalizing behavior were collected at the end of kindergarten and 1st grade. ROC curves were used to visually depict the tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity and best model fit was determined. Five of the six combinations of screen scores across time points and raters met both the specificity and sensitivity cutoffs for a well-performing screening tool. When data were examined within each site separately, screen scores performed better in sites with high base rates and models including single teacher screens accurately predicted convictions. Similarly, screen scores performed better and could be used more parsimoniously for males, but not females (whose base rates were lower in this sample). Overall, results indicated that early elementary screens for conduct problems perform remarkably well when predicting criminal convictions 20 years later. However, because of variations in base rates, screens operated differently by gender and location. The results indicated that for populations with high base rates, convictions can be accurately predicted with as little as one teacher screen taken during kindergarten or 1st grade, increasing the cost-effectiveness of preventative interventions.

vorige artikel The Longitudinal Relation between Observed Maternal Parenting in the Preschool Period and the Occurrence of Child ADHD Symptoms in Middle Childhood

volgende artikel Parental Reactivity to Disruptive Behavior in Toddlerhood: An Experimental Study

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Titel: Using Early Childhood Behavior Problems to Predict Adult Convictions
Auteurs: Francesca Kassing
Jennifer Godwin
John E. Lochman
John D. Coie
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group
Publicatiedatum: 03-10-2018
Uitgeverij: Springer US
Gepubliceerd in: Research on Child and Adolescent Psychopathology / Uitgave 5/2019
Print ISSN: 2730-7166
Elektronisch ISSN: 2730-7174
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10802-018-0478-7

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