Original article
The Validity of Prospective and Retrospective Global Change Criterion Measures

Presented as a poster to the American Physical Therapy Association Combined Sections Meeting, February 2004, Nashville, TN.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apmr.2005.07.290Get rights and content

Abstract

Schmitt J, Di Fabio RP. The validity of prospective and retrospective global change criterion measures.

Objective

To assess the validity of retrospective versus prospective criterions of change.

Design

Single cohort pretest-posttest design.

Setting

Physical or occupational therapy outpatient clinics.

Participants

Volunteer sample of 211 patients with upper-extremity musculoskeletal problems.

Interventions

Not applicable.

Main Outcome Measures

Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder, and Hand questionnaire, the Shoulder Pain and Disability Index, the Patient-Rated Wrist Evaluation, the Medical Outcomes Study 12-Item Short-Form Health Survey; global disability rating (GDR), retrospective global rating of change (GRC), and patient satisfaction.

Results

Correlations were calculated among the baseline, 3-month follow-up, and change scores for each outcome measure with the change criterion instruments. Retrospective GRC and patient satisfaction ratings showed moderate correlations with the 3-month follow-up scores, but nonsignificant correlations with baseline scores. By contrast, the prospective GDR criterion showed significant correlations with both baseline and 3-month follow-up scores ranging between 0.3 and 0.4 (absolute value).

Conclusions

Retrospective self-report measures of change do not accurately reflect true change over time. The retrospective GRC and patient satisfaction were heavily influenced by current (posttreatment) status whereas the prospective global change measure reflected both baseline and posttreatment status equally and thus appeared to be a more valid measure of change over time. This study demonstrates the need for an alternative criterion for establishing true individual change.

Section snippets

Participants

Patients with a physician’s diagnosis of a musculoskeletal upper-extremity problem were recruited at the initial visit to local physical and occupational (hand therapy) outpatient clinics. All patients 18 years and older who could read and understand English were eligible for the study. Subjects were excluded if they had primary or coexisting systemic conditions including multiple sclerosis, cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, stroke, or mental or cognitive impairment. The recruitment goal was at

Results

A summary of the subjects’ demographic information is listed in table 1. The patients had a variety of diagnoses involving the upper extremity as is seen in many outpatient orthopedic practices. The most common diagnoses were shoulder pain (n=45 patients, 21% of the sample), shoulder tendonitis (n=33, 16%), shoulder impingement (n=16, 8%), and elbow tendonitis (n=24, 11%).

Six percent of the SF-12 questionnaires had missing items (typically 1 item was omitted). The correlation of the imputed

Discussion

Retrospective global change instruments do not accurately measure change over time. The retrospective measures used in this study were heavily influenced by current (posttreatment) status. As predicted, baseline (pretreatment) status had little or no impact on the retrospective ratings. Van Stel et al40 reported similar results in a validation study for the Quality of Life for Respiratory Illness Questionnaire. These findings have implications for researchers who want to categorize patients

Conclusions

Criteria for global change are used frequently in research and clinical practice. Retrospective global change and satisfaction questions appear to reflect follow-up status rather than true change over time. Change scores from a prospectively measured global functional status question reflected both baseline and follow-up status fairly equally, but still accounted for a small to moderate amount of the variance in commonly accepted functional outcome measures for the upper extremity. This study

Acknowledgments

We thank the physical and occupational therapists at Park Nicollet Clinic and the Institute for Athletic Medicine for their support in recruiting patients.

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    Supported in part by the American Physical Therapy Association Orthopaedic Section.

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