The early employment and further education experiences of high school dropouts: a comparative study of the United States and Australia

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Abstract

It is widely recognized that high school dropouts, or early school leavers, often experience difficulty in making the transition from school to productive activities in adulthood, particularly post-school education, training, and employment. This study examines the experiences of high school dropouts from the United States and Australia in the first two years beyond high school. Unlike most studies of school dropouts, wc define a school dropout as any student who ever quit high school. By defining school dropouts in this way, we are able to examine not only which students quit high school, but which ones ultimately return and complete high school by earning a regular high school diploma or a high school equivalency. In the United States, at least, a high proportion of high school dropouts ultimately complete secondary school. We go on to compare the post-school education, training and employment experiences of school dropouts who complete high school with those who do not complete high school as well as with high school graduates who never quit school. Our analysis reveals substantial differences in the post-school education and employment experiences of these groups, with school dropouts experiencing much longer periods where they are neither employed nor in post-school education or training. It also reveals differences in the experiences of dropouts in the US compared to those in Australia, with dropouts in Australia more likely to participate in post-school education and training and more likely to settle into productive employment within the first two years of high school. This suggests that dropouts in the US are at a relatively larger disadvantage compared to high school graduates in Australia.

Introduction

There is widespread interest among all industrialized countries in improving the transition from school to working life for young people (OECD, 1996). Because the majority of young people in most industrialized countries now complete secondary school, this interest has focused particularly on the transition from secondary school to post-high school work and education. As the rate of secondary school completion has grown, so too has concern over that group of young people who fail to complete high school. It is widely recognized that high school dropouts, or early school leavers, experience the most difficulty in making the transition from school to productive activities in adulthoodmpost-school education, training, and employment. For example, the earnings of male high school dropouts have been falling in the US relative to the earnings of more educated workers for the last 30 years.1

One specific concern is how to create viable educational options for dropouts once they leave high school. The US has long had a mechanism for dropouts to earn a high school equivalency through a national examination known as the General Educational Development (GED) test administered by the American Council of Education (1999). The GED is a series of five subject exams in which, beginning in 1997, test-takers had to exceed the performance of at least 67% of traditional graduating high school seniors in order to pass the test. However, states establish their own criteria for using the GED results to issue a high school equivalency certificate in their state.2 In 1999, almost 268,000 18–24 year olds received a GED in the US, an increase of 20% since 1990 (Kaufman, Kwon, Klein, & Chapman, 2000, Table C3). But as the number of young people earning a high school equivalency has increased, so too has a debate about its economic value. Some scholars have suggested that the GED does not provide the same economic rewards as a regular high school diploma, while other scholars argue that GED holders fare better in the labor market than other dropouts groups (Cameron and Heckman, 1993, Murnane, Willett and Boudett, 1995, Murnane, Willett and Boudett, 1997, Murnane, Willett and Boudett, 1999, Murnane, Willett and Tyler, 2000, Tyler, Murnane and Willett, 2000).

In Australia, there is no equivalent mechanism to the GED. Dropouts can complete a Year 12 certificate by either returning to high school, a practice that is not common, or, depending on the state, entering a Technical and Further Education (TAFE) College. In recent years, the Federal government has implemented major changes to income support arrangements to encourage dropouts to return to school or to participate in full-time education and training. Several measures were introduced including the requirement that young people under 18 years generally be in school or full-time education or training to receive financial assistance. These changes were based on the belief that there are substantial economic benefits to completion of Year 12 or similar forms of education and training.

This study examines the experiences of high school dropouts from the United States and Australia in the first two years beyond high school.3 Unlike most studies of school dropouts, we define a school dropout as any student who ever quit high school. By defining school dropouts in this way, we are able to examine not only which students quit high school, but also which ones ultimately return and complete high school either by earning a regular high school diploma or a high school equivalency certificate. In the United States, at least, a high proportion of high school dropouts ultimately complete secondary school. We go on to compare the post-school education, training and employment experiences of school dropouts who complete high school with those who do not complete high school as well as with high school graduates who never quit school. Our analysis reveals substantial differences in the post-school education and employment experiences of these groups, with school dropouts experiencing much longer periods where they are neither employed nor in post-school education or training.

Section snippets

Data

The analysis is based on comparable longitudinal surveys in both countries. The US data were drawn from the National Educational Longitudinal Survey of 1988 (NELS), a longitudinal survey of 25,000 grade 8 students in the United States begun in 1988 that was also designed to provide policy-relevant information on young people’s education, training, and transition to adulthood (Carroll, 1996). NELS base year data were collected in 1988 and follow-up data were collected on a subset of base-year

Pathways to high school completion

In order to examine the post-school employment and further education experiences of high school dropouts, it is first necessary to identify high school dropouts. Dropouts are most commonly identified as persons who, at a particular point in time, have not completed high school and are not currently enrolled in high school (see Kaufman, Kwon, Klein & Chapman, 2000). The problem with this approach is that it fails to identify students who quit high school sometime during their educational careers

Opportunities for post-school education and training

Because high school completion is required for entrance to some colleges and most universities, high school dropouts have more limited opportunities to further their education and training beyond high school. That puts them at a competitive disadvantage in the labor market, especially as the skill and educational requirements of many jobs increase over time.

In the United States, young people in the 1994 NELS survey were asked whether they were currently working on any post-secondary

The transition to productive employment

One of the main concerns about high school dropouts is their ability to settle into productive employment. In general, high school dropouts have more difficulty finding stable, productive employment. This can be due to their lack of skills and training, which puts them at a relative disadvantage compared to high school graduates. It can also be due to other non-cognitive attributes that may have caused them to quit school in the first place and hinder their employment prospects, attributes that

Participation in productive activity

The difficulty of high school dropouts participating in post school education and employment is further revealed by examining their activities over time. As mentioned earlier, both the US and Australian data provided information on employment and enrollment status each month following the typical month for high school graduation, which was June 1992 for US students and December 1992 for Australian students. In the case of the US, we examined employment and enrollment status for each of the 20

Earnings for the non-college bound

The previous findings suggested that staying in school and graduating increases the prospects for productive activity in the first two years following high school. But do the benefits of completing high school also appear in the earnings that young people gain? At this age, earnings may not be large and, in Australia at least, may be affected by youth training allowances. Nonetheless, we estimated models for earnings of dropouts and graduates who were not engaged in schooling as the primary

Summary and conclusions

This study examined the early education and employment experiences of high school dropouts in the US and Australia. Unlike most studies of high school dropouts, this study identified all students who ever dropped out of high school in two similar cohorts of youth in the US and Australia. By doing so, it was not only possible to determine how many students ever dropped out of school, but also to examine differences in the subsequent education and labor market experiences between permanent

Acknowledgements

An earlier version of this paper was prepared for the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. We would like to thank the suggestions of the editor and the two anonymous reviewers.

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