Predictors of Long-Term Survival in Patients With Malignant Ventricular Arrhythmias

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Abstract

The study consisted of 369 patients (age 62 ± 13 years) who presented to our institution from April 1984 to April 1994 for malignant ventricular arrhythmias presenting as sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) in 57% of patients, ventricular fibrillation in 25% of patients, and syncope due to VT in 17% of patients. Coronary artery disease was present in 74% of patients, cardiomyopathy in 19% of patients, and no evident heart disease in 7% of patients. Two hundred twenty-one patients were given drug therapy, 47 patients underwent arrhythmia surgery, and 75 patients had an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD). During a mean follow-up of 30 months (range 1 to 101), 66 patients (18%) died from a cardiac death of which 26 (39%) were sudden. Cox regression analysis was conducted utilizing a total of 19 variables (clinical and therapeutic) in the entire population and separately in patients with coronary artery disease and cardiomyopathy. The most significant variables (multivariate analysis) of survival from cardiac mortality in the entire population were: congestive heart failure (CHF) class (p = 0.0003), ejection fraction (p = 0.02), and the use of drug therapy (p = 0.03); in patients with coronary artery disease, CHF class (p = 0.0001) and ejection fraction (p = 0.0006); and in patients with cardiomyopathy, CHF class (p = 0.009) and sustained VT on Holter monitoring (p = 0.007). Kaplan-Meier survival rates from cardiac death were: significantly lower (p = 0.005) in patients with CHF class III and IV compared with CHF class I and II (25% vs 58%, p = 0.005) with drug therapy; marginally significant (47% vs 88%, p = 0.06) from 20 to 40 months in patients with an ICD; and nonsignificant in patients who underwent arrhythmia surgery (63% vs 71%). Patients with an ICD had a better expected survival (82%) than patients who had arrhythmia surgery (69%) and drug therapy (65%). Thus, in patients with malignant ventricular arrhythmias, CHF class was the most significant independent predictor of survival from cardiac mortality over all disease substrates, and therapy influenced survival depending on the CHF class. Patients in CHF class III and IV who underwent arrhythmia surgery or had an ICD had a better expected survival than those taking drug therapy, and the negative impact of antiarrhythmic therapy was most prominent in patients with CHF class III and IV.

Congestive heart failure class was the most significant predictor of survival in 369 patients with malignant ventricular arrhythmias over all disease substrates. Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and arrhythmia surgery in contrast to antiarrythmic drug therapy was associated with a better long-term survival in patients with congestive heart failure.

Section snippets

Study Patients

The study consisted of 369 consecutive patients (age 62 ± 13 years) who presented to our institution from April 1984 to April 1994 for malignant ventricular arrhythmias. The clinical features of the patients are listed in Table 1. Patients underwent special noninvasive and invasive tests including 24-hour Holter monitoring, signal-averaged electrocardiography, radionuclide ventriculography, coronary angiography, and programmed electrical stimulation utilizing standard methods. The efficacy of

Results

A total of 66 patients (18%) died from a cardiac death; of these, only 26 (39%) were classified as sudden. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve for cardiac death for the entire population is shown in Fig. 1. The survival for a mean of 61 months was 69%. Of the variables tested in the regression analysis, the most significant univariate predictors (Table 2) of cardiac mortality were CHF class (p = 0.001), EF <30% (p <0.001), late potential-I (p <0.006), use of drug therapy (p = 0.03), and the

Discussion

Most previous studies15, 16 have shown that EF and inducibility of VT are powerful predictors of arrhythmic events; however, the role of CHF in the setting of current modalities of therapy has not been adequately addressed. This retrospective study found that CHF classification was the most powerful predictor of cardiac and sudden death mortality in the entire population of patients, most of whom had coronary artery disease. Of interest was our observation that the use of antiarrhythmic therapy

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