The Delphi method: Substance, context, a critique and an annotated bibliography

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Abstract

This paper is concerned with a methodology for efficiently obtaining concensus from a panel of evaluators on questions which are shrouded in uncertainty and can not be measured or evaluated in the classical sense. The methodology and its historical development are described, it is placed in context vis-a-vis other methods of subjective scaling, and a critique is provided. An extensive and current annotated bibliography is presented.

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    Formerly: Operations Research Department, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio 44106.

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