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Incremental Validity of Cognitions in a Clinical Case Formulation: An Intraindividual Test in a Case Example

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Abstract

Incremental validity, the ability of a measure to predict or explain variance over and above other measures, is an important psychometric characteristic of standardized measures, but has received little attention idiographically. Idiographic assessment may be an important part of developing a clinical case formulation, guiding treatment by developing an individualized understanding of the variables that trigger and maintain distress. This study examined whether the idiosyncratic cognitive schema hypothesized by a clinician in a cognitive case formulation explained distress incrementally over that of situational triggers. Using daily ratings of situational triggers, idiosyncratic cognitions, and distress, the incremental validity of cognitions in predicting each of six distress measures was tested in a case example using dynamic time series regression. The incremental variance explained by cognitions varied across the distress measures, suggesting that, in this case example, targeting thoughts and beliefs for treatment may be important for only certain types of distress.

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Notes

  1. Although “cognitions” is a broad term, in the present article they refer to the automatic thoughts and intermediate and core beliefs relevant to the ICS as defined here.

  2. The term causal variable is used in the sense introduced by Haynes (1992; Haynes & O’Brien, 2000) as a variable that covaries with its effect, precedes the effect, has a logical mechanism for the causal relation on the effect, and cannot be wholly attributed to the common influence of a third variable. Temporal precedence is, at best, weakly demonstrated (via possible lagged effects) in the present study. In contrast, an approach frequently used to assess functional causal relationships in severely developmentally disabled individuals involves controlled observation after experimental manipulation of stimulus conditions (e.g., Iwata et al., 1994). However, this latter approach is not plausible in the present study given that the presence, absence, or degree of activation of idiosyncratic cognitions is difficult to control experimentally.

  3. Watson et al. (1995) condensed the six MASQ subscales into three tripartite scales because the three dimensional factor structure fit their large samples well using R-technique factor analysis. However, so as to obtain a specific and fine-grained multidimensional assessment of symptoms and distress, each subscale was separately assessed. Four of these subscales were used in the present study: General Distress (GD): Depressed, GD: Mixed, Anhedonia (loss of interest), and Positive Affectivity. Within the tripartite model, the latter two are considered the most specific measures of depression. Permission to use selected items from the copyrighted MASQ obtained from L.E. Clark (9/29/1999).

  4. Items measuring the ICSs and distress variables were first inspected for adequate variability, skewness, and kurtosis and then detrended with up to an 8th order polynomial regression to permit modeling of an overall linear and curvilinear trend as well as monthly cyclicity. Items which did not covary with other items intended to measure the same construct were eliminated based on the results of confirmatory dynamic factor analysis (for the ICSs) or an intraindividual item analysis (for distress measures). Of the 43 items proposed by the clinician to measure the ICSs in his CCF, 1 item was dropped due to high skewness and 6 were dropped due to inadequate convergent validity with other items assessing the ICS, resulting in retention of 84% of the clinician's items. Of the 39 items measuring the six distress scales for the present study, 7 were dropped.

  5. Using loadings from the unidimensional model is preferable to the using loadings from the final multidimensional model for the ICSs because the latter model allows each ICS factor to covary. If ICS factor scores were created from the multidimensional model, they would include weighted contributions from all ICS items, thereby not limiting the factor score creation to only those items intended to measure that ICS. Also, the final multidimensional ICS model used item parcels instead of individual items.

  6. Following Mumma (2004), the items on the symptom/distress scales were standardized intraindividually prior to creating the scale score because most of these scales were wholly or partly based on standardized measures constructed using equal weighting for (i.e., standardizing) each item.

  7. For GD: Mixed entering all 4 ICSs resulted in a statistically significant increase in R 2 from .25 to .39. For the other 5 distress measures, putting all 4 ICSs in the model did not statistically significantly increase the proportion of daily variance in the distress measure explained by the ICSs that were included in the CCF.

  8. Interestingly, the entire set of 4 ICSs explained a statistically significantly greater incremental proportion of variance over that explained by the ICSs included in the clinician's CCF for only one distress measure (GD: Mixed: z test for the difference in the R 2: z=3.67, p < .0004; Meng, Rosenthal, & Rubin, 1992 ). Thus, the clinician omitted incrementally important cognitive predictors from the CCF for only one of the six distress measures.

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Mumma, G.H., Mooney, S.R. Incremental Validity of Cognitions in a Clinical Case Formulation: An Intraindividual Test in a Case Example. J Psychopathol Behav Assess 29, 17–28 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10862-006-9024-y

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