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Predicting adolescent risk behavior using a personalized cost-benefit analysis

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Abstract

Risk was investigated from the subjective viewpoints of adolescents, with the aim of assessing adolescents' perceptions of what constitutes risky behavior and how risk behaviors and risk judgments relate. Participants were 570 school-based adolescents. Students named risky behaviors perceived as common to similarly aged peers, then rated level of engagement in these behaviors. The perceived positive and negative outcomes of risk were also nominated, and rated on perceived likelihood and desirability/undesirability. The sample viewed risky behaviors as smoking, drinking alcohol, dangerous driving, taking drugs, criminal behavior, sporting risks, antisocial behavior, minor rebellion, school-related risks, and sexual activity. Negative outcomes of risk were categorized as death, disablement, punishment, and social consequences. Payoffs included pleasure, material gain, and avoidance of negative outcomes. There was a consistent pattern of relationships between risk participation and outcome judgment, with perceived pleasantness and likelihood of positive outcomes, and unpleasantness of negative outcomes, strongly associated with behavior.

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This research was supported by the Australian Rotary Health Research Fund.

Received Ph.D. from Florida State University. Research interests: adolescent development, risk taking, and sexuality.

Received Ph.D. from Monash University. Research interests: adolescent development, emotional development, and families.

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Moore, S., Gullone, E. Predicting adolescent risk behavior using a personalized cost-benefit analysis. J Youth Adolescence 25, 343–359 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01537389

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