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Gepubliceerd in: Kind en adolescent 3/2016

08-09-2016 | Artikelen

Het voorspellen van problematische opgroei- of opvoedingssituaties

Onderzoek naar de predictieve validiteit van het LIRIK en de ontwikkeling van een Actuarieel Risicotaxatie Instrument voor Jeugdbescherming (ARIJ)

Auteurs: Dr. Claudia van der Put, Drs. Mark Assink, Prof. dr. Geert Jan M. Stams

Gepubliceerd in: Kind en adolescent | Uitgave 3/2016

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Samenvatting

Het doel van deze studie was te onderzoeken of terugkeer naar de jeugdbescherming beter voorspeld wordt door het Licht Instrument Risicotaxatie Kindveiligheid (LIRIK) of door een nieuw te ontwikkelen actuarieel instrument. De steekproef bestond uit 3963 kinderen tussen 0 en 18 jaar (M leeftijd = 9,1 jaar, SD = 5,33) en hun ouder(s) die in een hulpverleningstraject bij Jeugdbescherming Regio Amsterdam (JBRA) zaten vanwege een problematische opgroei- of opvoedingssituatie. Terugkeer was gedefinieerd als het opnieuw starten van een jeugdbeschermingstraject door JBRA. Het Actuarieel Risicotaxatie Instrument voor Jeugdbescherming (ARIJ) werd ontwikkeld middels een CHAID-analyse. Een voorspelling op basis van het LIRIK bleek niet significant beter dan toeval (AUC = .53). De predictieve validiteit van het ARIJ was matig (AUC = .63), maar significant beter dan die van het LIRIK. Veel praktijkinstellingen werken inmiddels met het ARIJ en daarom is het belangrijk te onderzoeken hoe de predictieve validiteit van het ARIJ verder kan worden verbeterd.
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Metagegevens
Titel
Het voorspellen van problematische opgroei- of opvoedingssituaties
Onderzoek naar de predictieve validiteit van het LIRIK en de ontwikkeling van een Actuarieel Risicotaxatie Instrument voor Jeugdbescherming (ARIJ)
Auteurs
Dr. Claudia van der Put
Drs. Mark Assink
Prof. dr. Geert Jan M. Stams
Publicatiedatum
08-09-2016
Uitgeverij
Bohn Stafleu van Loghum
Gepubliceerd in
Kind en adolescent / Uitgave 3/2016
Print ISSN: 0167-2436
Elektronisch ISSN: 1876-5998
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12453-016-0117-4

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