Zusammenfassung
The behavior of complex systems is often unpredictable, not because it is random, but because its current behavior depends on a unique history of interactions with its internal and external environment. Therefore, studying snapshots of the behavior of a complex system in a static manner, or, relying on the laws of probability to generate expectations of future behavior will be generally uninformative. In order to predict where a complex system might be going, one needs a record of where it has been.
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Olthof, M., Hasselman, F., Wijnants, M., Lichtwarck-Aschoff, A. (2020). Psychological dynamics are complex: a comparison of scaling, variance, and dynamic complexity in simulated and observed data. In: Viol, K., Schöller, H., Aichhorn, W. (eds) Selbstorganisation – ein Paradigma für die Humanwissenschaften. Springer, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-29906-4_17
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