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Direct and Indirect Influences of School System on Youth Delinquent Offending Among Migrant and Native-Born Students in Eight Countries

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Minority Youth and Social Integration

Abstract

Stratified school systems select children into different educational tracks according to ability, in some countries as early as age 10. Tracks substantially determine future education and career opportunities. Comprehensive school system have no such selection before age 15. Children with a migrant background are often overrepresented in lower tracks, and possible negative consequences may affect them more than native-born children. We use data from the third wave of the International Self-Report Delinquency study (ISRD3) to examine direct and indirect influences of school system on self-reported life-time offending of native and migrant students in eight countries, four countries with comprehensive and four with stratified school systems. We find that migrant students are indeed overrepresented in lower tracks and report higher levels of offending across all tracks than native students. No such differences exist for comprehensive systems. Our analysis also shows a stronger (direct) relationship between lower-track enrolment and offending for migrant than for native students, while (indirect) protective influences in the school system are reduced and risk influences are magnified for migrant students.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Total effect = direct effect + indirect effect, or: c = c’ + a × b.

  2. 2.

    Low-High: Wald χ 2(1) = 10.22, p = 0.001; Low-Mix: Wald χ 2(1) = 9.28, p = 0.002.

  3. 3.

    Wald χ 2(1) = 35.80, p = 0.000.

  4. 4.

    Wald χ2(1) = 9.66, p = 0.002.

  5. 5.

    Low-high: Wald χ2(1) = 11.79, p = 0.001; mix-high: Wald χ2(1) = 15.49, p = 0.000.

  6. 6.

    Low-high: Wald χ 2(1) = 17.23, p = 0.000; mix-high: Wald χ 2(1) = 41.03, p = 0.000.

  7. 7.

    Direct effect low × migrant.

  8. 8.

    Low-mix: Wald χ 2(1) = 7.11, p = 0.008; low-high: Wald χ 2(1) = 3.82, p = 0.051 (not significant).

  9. 9.

    High: Indirect high + indirect high × migrant = −0.051 + 0.032 = −0.019 (= − 2%); low: −0.029 + 0.037 = 0.008 (+1%); mix: −0.020 + 0.028 = 0.008 (+1%).

  10. 10.

    Total low + total low × migrant = 9%.

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Correspondence to Renske S. van der Gaag .

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Appendix

Appendix

  1. 1.

    Relative direct, indirect and total school-level effect —full model (see Table 6.5)

 

Unstandardised coefficient

Bootstrapped standard error

Standardised coefficient

Total last year offending

 School disorganisation

0.078***

(0.023)

0.023***

 School bonding

−0.196***

(0.013)

−0.105***

 Teacher bonding

−0.009

(0.012)

−0.005

 Perc. achievement

−0.095***

(0.013)

−0.046***

 Future aspiration

−0.020**

(0.006)

−0.021**

 Truancy

0.168***

(0.009)

0.148***

 Delinquent friends

0.269***

(0.006)

0.305***

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

0.076***

(0.013)

0.069***

 Mix

0.048***

(0.012)

0.046***

 High

0.047***

(0.012)

0.045***

 Constant

0.104***

(0.012)

 

School disorganisation

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

0.005

(0.003)

0.014

 Mix

0.053***

(0.003)

0.174***

 High

−0.038***

(0.003)

−0.123***

 Constant

−0.016***

(0.003)

 

School bonding

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

0.023**

(0.007)

0.039**

 Mix

0.000

(0.007)

0.000

 High

0.055***

(0.006)

0.099***

 Constant

0.001

(0.006)

 

Teacher bonding

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

0.004

(0.008)

0.006

 Mix

0.015*

(0.007)

0.024*

 High

0.030***

(0.007)

0.046***

 Constant

0.001

(0.007)

 

Perc. Achievement

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

0.020**

(0.006)

0.037**

 Mix

0.025***

(0.006)

0.049***

 High

0.028***

(0.006)

0.055***

 Constant

−0.033***

(0.006)

 

Future aspiration

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

−0.498***

(0.014)

−0.424***

 Mix

−0.398***

(0.013)

−0.359***

 High

−0.213***

(0.012)

−0.191***

 Constant

0.837***

(0.010)

 

Truancy

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

−0.058***

(0.011)

−0.060***

 Mix

−0.073***

(0.011)

−0.079***

 High

−0.076***

(0.011)

−0.083***

 Constant

0.227***

(0.009)

 

Delinquent friends

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

  

 Low

−0.013

(0.014)

−0.01

 Mix

−0.011

(0.014)

−0.01

 High

−0.049***

(0.014)

−0.042***

 Constant

0.625***

(0.012)

 

 var(e.totlyp)

0.151***

(0.001)

 

 var(e.schdocls)

0.013***

(0.000)

 

 var(e.schbopc)

0.053***

(0.001)

 

 var(e.teabopc)

0.071***

(0.001)

 

 var(e.achievpc)

0.045***

(0.000)

 

 var(e.aftsch2)

0.195***

(0.001)

 

 var(e.truancyp)

0.143***

(0.002)

 

 var(e.delfrndp)

0.227***

(0.001)

 

 N

22,745

  

 SRMR

0.047

(<0.05 = good fit)

 

 Coefficient of determination

0.455

  
  1. Note: sem controlled for gender, grade, openness, country
  1. 2.

    Influence of school system and migrant background —full model (see Table 6.7)

 

Unstandardised coefficient

Robust SE

min95

max95

Total last year offending

 School disorganisation

0.066**

(0.023)

(0.020

0.111)

 School bonding

−0.194***

(0.013)

(−0.220

−0.167)

 Teacher bonding

−0.011

(0.011)

(−0.033

0.010)

 Perc. Achievement

−0.094***

(0.013)

(−0.120

−0.068)

 Future aspiration

−0.022***

(0.006)

(−0.034

−0.010)

 Truancy

0.166***

(0.008)

(0.150

0.182)

 Delinquent friends

0.268***

(0.006)

(0.257

0.280)

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

0.050***

(0.014)

(0.022

0.078)

 Mix

0.044***

(0.013)

(0.019

0.069)

 High

0.039**

(0.012)

(0.015

0.063)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

0.017

(0.010)

(−0.002

0.036)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.034*

(0.016)

(0.004

0.065)

 Mix × migrant

−0.009

(0.015)

(−0.038

0.019)

 High × migrant

0.002

(0.015)

(0.027

0.031)

 Constant

0.124***

(0.012)

(0.101

0.147)

School disorganisation

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

−0.017***

(0.004)

(−0.024

−0.010)

 Mix

0.037***

(0.003)

(0.030

0.043)

 High

−0.043***

(0.003)

(−0.049

−0.036)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

0.020***

(0.003)

(0.014

0.026)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.027***

(0.004)

(0.018

0.036)

 Mix × migrant

0.022***

(0.004)

(0.013

0.030)

 High × migrant

−0.002

(0.004)

(−0.010

0.006)

 Constant

−0.048***

(0.003)

(−0.053

−0.043)

School bonding

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

0.041***

(0.008)

(0.025

0.056)

 Mix

0.007

(0.007)

(0.006

0.021)

 High

0.073***

(0.007)

(0.060

0.086)

 Native

0

(.)

(0.000

0.000)

 Migrant

0.004

(0.006)

(−0.008

0.015)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

−0.032***

(0.009)

(−0.051

−0.014)

 Mix × migrant

−0.012

(0.009)

(−0.029

0.005)

 High × migrant

−0.044***

(0.009)

(−0.061

−0.027)

 Constant

0.055***

(0.006)

(0.043

0.066)

Teacher bonding

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

−0.005

(0.009)

(−0.023

0.013)

 Mix

0.001

(0.008)

(−0.015

0.017)

 High

0.036***

(0.008)

(0.020

0.052)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

0.024***

(0.007)

(0.011

0.038)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.002

(0.011)

(−0.019

0.023)

 Mix × migrant

0.018

(0.010)

(−0.002

0.038)

 High × migrant

−0.031**

(0.010)

(−0.051

−0.011)

 Constant

0.045***

(0.007)

(0.031

0.059)

Perc. Achievement

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

0.020**

(0.007)

(0.006

0.035)

 Mix

0.024***

(0.007)

(0.011

0.037)

 High

0.036***

(0.007)

(0.023

0.049)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

0.001

(0.005)

(−0.009

0.012)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.000

(0.008)

(−0.016

0.017)

 Mix × migrant

0.003

(0.008)

(−0.013

0.019)

 High × migrant

−0.021**

(0.008)

(−0.037

−0.006)

 Constant

−0.023***

(0.006)

(−0.034

−0.012)

Future aspiration

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

−0.562***

(0.015)

(−0.591

−0.532)

 Mix

−0.435***

(0.014)

(−0.461

−0.408)

 High

−0.228***

(0.013)

(−0.254

−0.202)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

0.023*

(0.010)

(0.003

0.044)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.103***

(0.018)

(0.067

0.139)

 Mix × migrant

0.060***

(0.017)

(0.027

0.093)

 High × migrant

0.015

(0.016)

(−0.015

0.045)

 Constant

0.794***

(0.011)

(0.772

0.815)

Truancy

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

−0.092***

(0.012)

(−0.117

−0.068)

 Mix

−0.097***

(0.011)

(−0.118

−0.075)

 High

−0.094***

(0.011)

(−0.115

−0.072)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

0.028**

(0.011)

(0.007

0.050)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.042**

(0.016)

(0.011

0.074)

 Mix × migrant

0.029*

(0.014)

(0.001

0.058)

 High × migrant

0.024

(0.015)

(−0.006

0.053)

 Constant

0.174***

(0.010)

(0.155

0.193)

Delinquent friends

 Comprehensive

(ref.)

   

 Low

−0.055***

(0.017)

(−0.087

−0.022)

 Mix

−0.045**

(0.015)

(−0.075

−0.015)

 High

−0.072***

(0.015)

(−0.101

−0.042)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Migrant

−0.02

(0.012)

(−0.043

0.003)

 Native

(ref.)

   

 Low × migrant

0.090***

(0.019)

(0.053

0.127)

 Mix × migrant

0.081***

(0.018)

(0.046

0.116)

 High × migrant

0.064***

(0.018)

(0.028

0.100)

 Constant

0.518***

(0.013)

(0.492

0.543)

 var(e.totlyp)

0.150***

(0.001)

(0.148

0.153)

 var(e.schdocls)

0.013***

(0.000)

(0.013

0.013)

 var(e.schbopc)

0.053***

(0.000)

(0.052

0.054)

 var(e.teabopc)

0.071***

(0.001)

(0.070

0.072)

 var(e.achievpc)

0.045***

(0.000)

(0.044

0.046)

 var(e.aftsch2)

0.194***

(0.001)

(0.191

0.196)

 var.(e.truancyp)

0.143***

(0.002)

(0.140

0.146)

 var.(e.delfrndp)

0.227***

(0.001)

(0.225

0.229)

 N

22,745

   

 LL

−30,478,965

   

 df

159

   

 AIC

61,275,93

   

 BIC

62,553,035

   
  1. Note: gsem controlled for gender, grade, openness, country and migrant background

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van der Gaag, R.S., Steketee, M. (2018). Direct and Indirect Influences of School System on Youth Delinquent Offending Among Migrant and Native-Born Students in Eight Countries. In: Roché, S., Hough, M. (eds) Minority Youth and Social Integration. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-89462-1_6

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